Catanzaro vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PRG
0 - 2
FCC
78%
16%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
2 - 1
FCC
43%
27%
31%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 2
FCC
29%
28%
44%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 1
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
APR
0 - 1
PRG
18%
24%
58%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
APR
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
APR
3 - 2
USV
60%
22%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 5
APR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |