Catanzaro vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
26.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1989 |
SSB
4 - 1
FCC
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 2
REG
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 0
FCC
60%
25%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
FCC
3 - 0
COS
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
SSS
1 - 0
FCC
42%
33%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1989 |
ANC
1 - 0
PIA
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
BRE
1 - 0
ANC
42%
30%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
UDI
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
ANC
1 - 1
PAR
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
REG
1 - 1
ANC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |