Catanzaro vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 0
FCC
28%
30%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCC
3 - 0
PAG
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 3
FCC
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCC
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASG
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 3
AKR
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AKR
2 - 0
TOR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
AKR
0 - 1
REN
74%
16%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DTO
1 - 1
AKR
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AKR
3 - 1
USV
75%
16%
8%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |