Catanzaro vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
COS
0 - 0
FCC
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 0
AVE
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
USF
1 - 0
FCC
38%
32%
30%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
CAG
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
REG
3 - 1
FCC
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
REG
1 - 0
AVE
30%
32%
37%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
CAG
1 - 1
REG
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
REG
0 - 0
LIC
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
PIS
2 - 1
REG
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
REG
3 - 0
TRI
53%
28%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |