Catanzaro vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
19.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
29%
16.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
FCC
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
FCC
2 - 0
SPA
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCC
40%
33%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
FCC
0 - 0
COM
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
FCC
35%
35%
30%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
TAR
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
PAR
0 - 0
REG
44%
32%
24%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
REG
4 - 1
CAT
55%
27%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
NOV
2 - 0
REG
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
REG
2 - 0
PAL
52%
29%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |