Catanzaro vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
USF
0 - 0
FCC
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 0
FCC
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAD
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
PIS
5 - 1
FCC
37%
30%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
MOD
3 - 2
REG
51%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
ARZ
1 - 1
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
VAR
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
GEN
8 - 1
REG
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |