Catanzaro vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
25.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
FCC
2 - 1
VER
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
TOR
3 - 1
FCC
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 1
PRG
43%
30%
28%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 0
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
FCC
0 - 1
FIO
30%
31%
39%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
CES
0 - 3
TOR
30%
31%
39%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
VER
2 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CES
0 - 2
NAP
30%
29%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
JUV
3 - 2
CES
78%
16%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
CES
1 - 1
SAM
58%
26%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |