Catanzaro vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
LAZ
2 - 0
FCC
62%
25%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 1
USF
37%
32%
31%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
LIV
3 - 1
FCC
52%
29%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 1
BRE
26%
30%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 0
FCC
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
46%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
REG
2 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 2
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
CES
3 - 0
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |