Catanzaro vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
POT
2 - 2
FCC
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 0
FCC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 1
LIV
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
FCC
2 - 0
NOV
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
SAV
2 - 0
FCC
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
ARZ
61%
23%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PIS
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 0
ARZ
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
ARZ
2 - 2
PAD
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
USA
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
23%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |