FC Castrense vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 0
PGO
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
FCC
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 2
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 5
OPE
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
ACD
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VSC
4 - 2
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
FFC
89%
8%
3%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |