FC Castrense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 2
FCC
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FCC
0 - 0
LOU
36%
23%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 2
FCC
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FCC
0 - 0
OLI
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 0
FCC
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MOU
0 - 0
ORI
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MOU
2 - 0
IDE
37%
27%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EVN
2 - 2
MOU
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MOU
0 - 1
CAS
19%
27%
54%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |