FC Castrense vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
50.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 2
FCC
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
FCC
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 0
PIN
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
LOU
32%
28%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
PIN
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 3
LOU
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 2
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |