FC Castrense vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 1
FCC
39%
23%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 0
CAS
16%
25%
60%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
FCC
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FCC
2 - 1
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FCC
2 - 2
MOU
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 1
ORI
17%
23%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 1
IDE
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OLH
2 - 0
IDE
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 1
EVN
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
1 - 2
CAS
19%
26%
55%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |