Castiglione vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
REN
1 - 0
FCC
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 1
ASS
17%
24%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 0
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 3
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RIM
0 - 0
VIR
53%
25%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 0
RIM
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RIM
1 - 1
MAN
40%
25%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PER
1 - 0
RIM
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RIM
0 - 0
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |