Castiglione vs AS Bra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PER
2 - 4
FCC
53%
26%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 3
DEL
28%
27%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BV5
0 - 0
FCC
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CUN
2 - 1
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 0
RIM
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASD
0 - 6
USA
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
REA
2 - 1
ASD
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASD
0 - 2
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 0
ASD
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASD
1 - 4
REN
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |