Castiglione vs AC Montichiari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SON
1 - 1
FCC
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 1
INV
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 5
FCC
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
MAP
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CIS
0 - 0
FCC
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 8
SER
12%
19%
69%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PON
4 - 1
ACM
80%
13%
6%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 2
AUR
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ACC
1 - 0
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 2
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |