Carlos Stein vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
SAM
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PIR
2 - 2
FCS
57%
22%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 3
UNI
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
FCS
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
AUN
18%
23%
60%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
COM
18%
25%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
LOS
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
PIR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 0
AUR
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |