Carlos Stein vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
57.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SPC
3 - 2
FCS
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 1
FCS
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 2
SBO
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
FCS
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
AYA
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 1
CAN
72%
20%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCI
0 - 0
MEL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 0
SCI
20%
29%
51%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
UTC
69%
21%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
HUA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |