FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs SV 1899 Merseburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
BFC
3 - 1
CZJ
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
CZJ
2 - 2
ERF
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
CZJ
0 - 0
RMA
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
MAG
1 - 0
CZJ
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
CZJ
2 - 0
FVF
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
ERF
1 - 1
SVM
78%
15%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
SVM
1 - 2
FVF
20%
27%
54%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
ROS
5 - 1
SVM
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
SVM
1 - 1
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
LOK
3 - 0
SVM
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |