Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Stal Mielec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
ZWI
2 - 1
CZJ
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
CZJ
1 - 1
ERF
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
MAR
0 - 1
CZJ
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
LOK
1 - 1
CZJ
42%
26%
32%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
CZJ
3 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stal Mielec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
RCH
2 - 1
STA
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
STA
2 - 1
HOL
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
STA
1 - 0
STA
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
SLA
0 - 1
STA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
STA
2 - 1
SZO
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |