FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs SC Einheit Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
CZJ
1 - 2
BWA
33%
23%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
SGD
0 - 0
CZJ
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
CZJ
1 - 0
ERF
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
HAL
1 - 0
CZJ
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
CZJ
2 - 1
FCU
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SC Einheit Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
SED
0 - 2
SGD
50%
22%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
FCU
3 - 0
SED
38%
23%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
HAL
2 - 2
SED
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SED
9 - 2
WIS
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SVD
6 - 3
SED
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |