FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
CHL
0 - 0
CZJ
26%
28%
46%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
CZJ
0 - 0
LEE
42%
25%
32%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
CZJ
3 - 1
BFC
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
SGD
3 - 2
CZJ
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
CZJ
1 - 0
MAG
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
ERF
2 - 0
ROS
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
LOK
7 - 1
ERF
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
ERF
1 - 1
FCU
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
HAL
1 - 0
ERF
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
ERF
3 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |