FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
HAL
1 - 0
CZJ
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
CZJ
2 - 1
FCU
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
CZJ
0 - 2
LAS
48%
22%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
CHL
6 - 0
CZJ
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
CZJ
4 - 0
SVD
22%
20%
58%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ERF
3 - 1
BSS
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
BWA
3 - 1
ERF
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
LAS
1 - 1
ERF
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ERF
1 - 2
ZWI
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
FCU
2 - 2
ERF
29%
22%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |