FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
CHE
2 - 2
CZJ
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
CZJ
3 - 0
COT
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
BSG
2 - 1
CZJ
18%
27%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
CZJ
4 - 0
BFC
74%
16%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
BWA
0 - 0
CZJ
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
LOK
1 - 0
COT
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
IPS
1 - 0
LOK
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
BFC
2 - 1
LOK
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
LOK
2 - 0
ZWI
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
ERF
3 - 1
LOK
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |