Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
CZJ
2 - 0
CHE
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
BSG
1 - 0
CZJ
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
CZJ
1 - 1
BCB
81%
11%
7%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
LOK
1 - 4
CZJ
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
CZJ
6 - 0
BWA
77%
15%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
LIE
2 - 0
KSV
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
LIE
0 - 3
LIE
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
LIE
3 - 0
RAA
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
ANT
3 - 0
LIE
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RUP
2 - 6
LIE
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |