Europa League 1/16
Global 1-3
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
CZJ
5 - 1
CHL
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
RCH
3 - 0
CZJ
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
LOK
2 - 0
CZJ
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
CZJ
6 - 1
CHE
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
COT
0 - 1
CZJ
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
LPO
1 - 2
RCH
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
RCH
2 - 0
SLA
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
SZO
3 - 1
RCH
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
RCH
3 - 0
CZJ
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
RCH
3 - 2
GWA
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |