FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
SCF
1 - 0
CZJ
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
CZJ
2 - 1
M05
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
ERF
0 - 1
CZJ
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
CZJ
3 - 1
HOM
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
HAL
0 - 0
CZJ
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
HOM
0 - 0
HAL
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
CHE
0 - 0
HOM
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
HOM
0 - 0
MUN
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
CZJ
3 - 1
HOM
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
HOM
2 - 2
WAL
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |