FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CZJ
1 - 1
GRE
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
CZJ
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 2
CZJ
20%
20%
60%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HES
1 - 3
CZJ
12%
16%
72%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 5
CZJ
5%
11%
84%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
WEH
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
F95
1 - 0
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SDL
1 - 1
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 0
HER
55%
22%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RWD
1 - 2
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |