Champions League 1/16
Global 5-0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
CZJ
5 - 1
BFC
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
LOK
3 - 2
CZJ
24%
27%
48%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
FEN
0 - 4
CZJ
37%
29%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
CZJ
3 - 1
MAG
70%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
CZJ
4 - 1
BSG
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
FEN
1 - 1
ALT
59%
26%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
FEN
1 - 0
IST
63%
24%
14%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
FEN
0 - 4
CZJ
37%
29%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1970 |
FEN
1 - 3
GOZ
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
FEN
0 - 0
ANK
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |