FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
CZJ
1 - 2
SCF
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
PAD
2 - 2
CZJ
43%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
CZJ
0 - 2
MUN
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SGF
2 - 2
CZJ
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
CZJ
2 - 0
OFC
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
WOL
3 - 1
FCN
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FCN
5 - 1
EIN
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
RAP
2 - 2
FCN
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
RTV
3 - 3
FCN
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |