FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
SGD
2 - 0
CZJ
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
FVF
0 - 2
CZJ
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BFC
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
BCB
1 - 4
CZJ
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
CZJ
1 - 1
MAG
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
BWA
0 - 4
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
BCB
2 - 0
BWA
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
BWA
0 - 0
MAG
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
WIS
0 - 2
BWA
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
BWA
1 - 0
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |