FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
CHL
3 - 0
CZJ
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1965 |
CZJ
2 - 0
SGD
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1965 |
NEU
2 - 1
CZJ
19%
21%
60%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
CZJ
1 - 0
VOW
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
CHE
1 - 0
CZJ
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
BWA
1 - 4
LAS
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1965 |
SST
1 - 2
BWA
44%
24%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ZWI
3 - 1
BWA
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
MAG
4 - 0
BWA
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
BWA
1 - 1
BFC
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |