FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
HAL
3 - 1
CZJ
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
CZJ
1 - 0
ZWI
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CZJ
0 - 1
SAC
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SED
1 - 1
CZJ
47%
23%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
CZJ
1 - 1
MAG
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
ZWI
3 - 1
BWA
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
BWA
4 - 0
ERF
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
BWA
4 - 0
LAS
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ROS
3 - 0
BWA
42%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
SED
1 - 2
BWA
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |