FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
VOW
4 - 0
CZJ
64%
18%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
CZJ
5 - 2
SED
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
LOK
1 - 2
CZJ
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
CZJ
2 - 0
ERF
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
ROS
2 - 1
CZJ
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
BFW
0 - 0
ERF
41%
23%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
SAC
6 - 0
BFW
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
BFW
2 - 0
BFC
52%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
BWA
3 - 0
BFW
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BFW
3 - 0
SED
40%
23%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |