Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
CZJ
2 - 1
BSG
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1974 |
VOR
0 - 3
CZJ
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
CZJ
1 - 0
SLP
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BWA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
HAL
0 - 2
CZJ
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
BOA
0 - 0
SLB
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
VAN
1 - 4
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 42 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
13%
23%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |