FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
78.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 4
CZJ
17%
20%
63%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 3
CZJ
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
6 - 2
HZE
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
SAM
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
LEV
14%
20%
66%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
STU
63%
20%
18%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 1
BET
74%
17%
10%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 1
LEV
47%
23%
30%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 2
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |