FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
73%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
EBT
2 - 0
CZJ
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SSV
1 - 1
CZJ
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CZJ
1 - 0
WEH
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
CZJ
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CZJ
2 - 1
DAR
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEV
55%
23%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LEV
6 - 1
EIN
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCN
1 - 4
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 0
HAN
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HOF
0 - 1
LEV
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |