FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ZWI
0 - 2
CZJ
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
CZJ
4 - 0
GER
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
DRE
1 - 3
CZJ
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CZJ
5 - 0
ERF
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
DRE
0 - 5
CZJ
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
AUE
2 - 0
POS
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
AUE
0 - 2
MEU
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
OBE
2 - 3
AUE
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AUE
3 - 4
SON
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
HAL
3 - 0
AUE
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |