FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
HAL
1 - 2
CZJ
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CZJ
1 - 1
POS
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SVG
0 - 5
CZJ
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
CZJ
3 - 0
ZWI
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
DRE
0 - 3
CZJ
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
POS
0 - 1
AUE
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
AUE
1 - 1
ZWI
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DRE
0 - 0
AUE
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
AUE
0 - 0
MAG
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
OBE
1 - 1
AUE
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |