Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 9-2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Alliance Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ROS
0 - 0
CZJ
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
CZJ
2 - 2
ABS
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 1
CZJ
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1961 |
HAL
1 - 1
CZJ
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CZJ
6 - 1
SED
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |