FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
64.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
KSC
1 - 1
CZJ
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
CZJ
0 - 3
HAL
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 2
CZJ
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CZJ
3 - 2
SGS
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
CZJ
1 - 2
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 1
FCU
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FCU
1 - 0
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
QPR
3 - 0
FCU
21%
20%
59%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 1
NOR
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 3
FCU
5%
10%
85%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |