Caramba vs Karosta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caramba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 1
FCC
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
FCC
1 - 0
SAL
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
FCC
5 - 3
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
FCC
8 - 2
LIM
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
FCC
4 - 5
GRO
9%
17%
74%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Karosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
FKK
4 - 1
LDZ
8%
13%
80%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
FKT
0 - 1
FKK
11%
16%
73%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
FKK
8 - 1
FKM
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
RIG
1 - 3
FKK
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
FKK
1 - 3
PRE
53%
19%
28%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |