Busei vs Uganda Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
UGA
0 - 1
VIP
38%
26%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ATC
2 - 1
UGA
13%
16%
71%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 0
ATC
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
UGA
2 - 1
BUL
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
UGA
2 - 0
NUF
33%
23%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |