Bülach vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
74.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
13º
4º
50
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bülach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LAC
2 - 1
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
FCB
5 - 2
FCD
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -3 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
KRE
2 - 2
FCB
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
FCB
3 - 1
WID
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BAZ
4 - 1
FCB
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WID
1 - 2
STG
3%
9%
88%
|
28 | 79 | 51 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WID
0 - 1
FCT
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
WID
37%
21%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
WID
1 - 2
UST
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 0
WID
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |