FC Bocholt vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
18º
12º
28
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 61 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 56 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 43 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 41 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 40 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 35 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 31 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 20 |
18º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 0
KFC
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 0
FCB
43%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
S04
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WIE
2 - 1
FCB
36%
26%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 5
KÖL
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUR
0 - 4
ROD
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
S04
1 - 4
DUR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
WIE
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KÖL
1 - 0
DUR
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DUR
2 - 0
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |