Blau-Weiß Linz vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
9º
4º
12
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
9 | 37 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 36 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 35 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
13 | 35 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 33 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 33 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 32 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
70% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Linz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 1
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
LAS
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
3 - 1
FCB
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
FCB
9%
15%
76%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 0
RAP
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
STR
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
STR
4 - 1
KAP
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STR
4 - 2
WAT
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 3
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |