Besa Biel/Bienne vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
42.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
15º
2º
56
3º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Biel/Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
BBB
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FAR
3 - 0
BBB
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BBB
1 - 3
FCE
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 3
BBB
37%
22%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DUD
0 - 0
BBB
22%
19%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 6
FCP
74%
15%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 3
BAS
5%
13%
83%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
OLD
3 - 1
FCU
62%
18%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 2
OLD
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
OLD
7 - 0
SCH
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |