Besa Biel/Bienne vs Lausanne Sport II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
52.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
14º
3º
66
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Biel/Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 5
BBB
20%
19%
61%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BBB
1 - 2
FCC
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 4
BBB
12%
16%
72%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BBB
2 - 3
ROM
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TPA
2 - 3
BBB
24%
20%
56%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lausanne Sport II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
7 - 0
FCA
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
GUM
3 - 4
LAU
13%
16%
71%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
0 - 2
FCC
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
LAU
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCE
77%
13%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |