Besa Biel/Bienne vs Grasshopper II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+80%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
14º
13º
32
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 90% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Biel/Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
BBB
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
BBB
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BBB
2 - 4
SCH
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 0
BBB
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 2
BBB
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 2
FCP
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
GRA
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 0
FCC
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MUT
1 - 1
GRA
36%
22%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
8 - 1
BLA
30%
24%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +3 |