Fc Besa Biel vs Muri-Gümligen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
14º
3º
42
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fc Besa Biel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 2
BBB
27%
21%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Muri-Gümligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GUM
2 - 2
FCA
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
GUM
2 - 2
FCP
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LER
3 - 2
GUM
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
GUM
1 - 2
LIE
14%
16%
70%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
REI
0 - 1
GUM
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |